| Gavin ( @ 2008-07-16 05:59:00 |
AWB2 : Bigger Badder and Uncut
In the wake of my successful predictions regarding Heller and the financial meltdown, I am venturing on another prediction. As with my other predictions I don't see unlikely events far into the future. I am simply stating what should be obvious to anyone paying attention.
Heller was not an unqualified success for gun rights. In fact it was a nearly unmitigated disaster. It is true that some limit has been placed on gun laws but its a very minor limit. It was previously possible to believe that some future Supreme Court decision would deem the words 'shall not be infringed' to have actual meaning. This is now impossible, even though the court has recognized some minimal individual right. However governments can restrict that right to almost any level, provided it isn't a complete ban. In practice this means obstacles can be raised to any height, as long as a few determined people manage to overcome them.
On to the prediction : Once Obama has been enthroned and anointed with holy oil, Congress will enact the next major gun law. This law will be worse than the old assault weapons ban by a long way. It will not amount to a total ban on all guns but it will :
1. Ban magazines over 10 rounds
2. Ban 50 caliber rifles (already law in CA)
3. Restrict private modification of weapons
4. Ban selling guns without a FFL (no private sales at all)
5. Restrict buying ammo without a license for that type of ammo (this is law in many countries)
6. Ban transporting guns across state lines, even in your own vehicle, without a federal license
7. Require all state databases of CCW to be linked to federal databases
8. Sundry other restrictions which my mind is not perverse enough to think up, but which Congress can imagine.
Gun rights activists have been complacent lately because they have won a few trifling victories. Their enemy has already surrounded them while they were sleeping.
The reason the gun grabbers are quiet now is because they need to win the election for Obama. They don't want millions of apathetic Republicans to suddenly wake up and head to the polls in November. This post is not a call to vote for Republicans, it won't help and its too late anyway. This election will be about financial fears and in a minor way about foreign policy. Gun rights are not on the agenda at all and nothing is going to put them there.
If the situation is hopeless why am I writing this? Simply so you can buy gun stuff now. If there is anything you were thinking of buying at some point then get it now. Stock up with as much ammo as you can afford. If you are planning to sell some surplus guns do it now before you need to pay a $50 fee for each sale.
In the wake of my successful predictions regarding Heller and the financial meltdown, I am venturing on another prediction. As with my other predictions I don't see unlikely events far into the future. I am simply stating what should be obvious to anyone paying attention.
Heller was not an unqualified success for gun rights. In fact it was a nearly unmitigated disaster. It is true that some limit has been placed on gun laws but its a very minor limit. It was previously possible to believe that some future Supreme Court decision would deem the words 'shall not be infringed' to have actual meaning. This is now impossible, even though the court has recognized some minimal individual right. However governments can restrict that right to almost any level, provided it isn't a complete ban. In practice this means obstacles can be raised to any height, as long as a few determined people manage to overcome them.
On to the prediction : Once Obama has been enthroned and anointed with holy oil, Congress will enact the next major gun law. This law will be worse than the old assault weapons ban by a long way. It will not amount to a total ban on all guns but it will :
1. Ban magazines over 10 rounds
2. Ban 50 caliber rifles (already law in CA)
3. Restrict private modification of weapons
4. Ban selling guns without a FFL (no private sales at all)
5. Restrict buying ammo without a license for that type of ammo (this is law in many countries)
6. Ban transporting guns across state lines, even in your own vehicle, without a federal license
7. Require all state databases of CCW to be linked to federal databases
8. Sundry other restrictions which my mind is not perverse enough to think up, but which Congress can imagine.
Gun rights activists have been complacent lately because they have won a few trifling victories. Their enemy has already surrounded them while they were sleeping.
The reason the gun grabbers are quiet now is because they need to win the election for Obama. They don't want millions of apathetic Republicans to suddenly wake up and head to the polls in November. This post is not a call to vote for Republicans, it won't help and its too late anyway. This election will be about financial fears and in a minor way about foreign policy. Gun rights are not on the agenda at all and nothing is going to put them there.
If the situation is hopeless why am I writing this? Simply so you can buy gun stuff now. If there is anything you were thinking of buying at some point then get it now. Stock up with as much ammo as you can afford. If you are planning to sell some surplus guns do it now before you need to pay a $50 fee for each sale.